Risk factors for discriminating between episodes of depression
background A single episode of major
depressive disorder (mdd) may be incidental and
might differ from multiple episodes in terms of
burden of disease. No study to date separately
explored risk factors for a single episode or for
multiple episodes of mdd in primary care.
aim To examine the risk factors for a single
episode or for multiple episodes of mdd in primary
care.
methods Prospective cohort study of
1338 consecutive attendees with follow-up after
six, 12 and 39 months with dsm-iv mdd diagnoses.
Depressive episodes were counted and categorised
in 0, 1 and 2 or more episodes. Log-binomial
regression was performed with the risk factors as
independent and number of depressive episodes as
dependent variable, adjusted for age, sex and lifetime
depression.
results 169 participants had one episode
and 102 had two or more episodes of mdd in 39
months. Compared to a single episode, risk factors
for having two or more episodes were recent difficulties
(rr 1.9; 95% ci 1.2-2.8), more severe depressive
symptoms (rr 5.3; 95% ci 2.2-12.3), lifetime
depression (rr 1.4; 95% ci 1.0-2.0), suicide in first
degree relatives (rr 1.6; 95% ci 1.0-2.7), divorced
parents (rr 1.5; 95% ci 1.0-2.2), feelings of loneliness
as child (rr 1.5; 95% ci 1.1-2.1), chronic difficulties
(rr 1.6; 95% ci 1.1-2.3), low social support
(rr 1.5; 95% ci 1.1-2.1), and difficulties in relationships
(rr 1.4; 95% ci 1.0-1.9).
conclusion Nearly all explored factors
increased the risk for depressive episodes when
compared to no episodes. Vulnerability, illnessrelated
and stress factors were associated with
having multiple episodes when compared to a single
episode, while socio-demographic and comorbidity
factors were not.